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These are players known by few tennis journalists or punters. However, every player starts out here at some stage in their career. The relative obscurity of the vast majority of players means that there are often profitable opportunities for the smart punter, who is willing to put in the research.
Personally, I have a database of over 25, matches, consisting of matches from the leading global junior tournaments, American junior tournaments in a range of age-groups down to U14s, Australian money tournaments and European junior tour events. At the moment of writing, I have logged ITF bets on this website, showing a profit of Over the past few weeks, a number of people have asked about what it is that I look for in selecting bets and what information I consider when making the decisions.
Thus, I have decided to put an example together based on my latest recommended bet to show the decision-making process and what resources I use. Rather than using my database, I will demonstrate it using resources available on the internet. Chiara Scholl is the seventh seed and Peggy Porter is unseeded, and both players had an automatic place in the main draw.
The first thing to look at is the ITF website. We can see some basic facts about the two players. On the left, year old Chiara Scholl is currently ranked at in the world, significantly below her career high ranking of that she achieved back in late On the right, year old Peggy Porter is ranked at , which is virtually a career high ranking, just one place behind the that she achieved in October last year.
In terms of other information that we can glean from this page, we can see that Scholl lists hard courts as her favoured surface. One thing to bear in mind is that young players are limited in the number of tournaments that they are allowed to play. As a result, their rankings can often be lower than they should be. The activity tab shows us every match that each player has competed in on the ITF or WTA tours over either the last 12 months or their entire career.
For Scholl, we see that she has played 36 matches in the last 12 months compiling a record — far from impressive. Indeed, she has won just 4 matches from 20 matches on clay, although several of them were against significantly higher ranked opponents. Only one of those clay court wins was against a player inside the top in the world, while several of the defeats were against players either outside the top or unranked.
Furthermore, only one of those defeats was against a player outside the top in the world. To get a further idea about the players, particularly Porter, we can look at their junior records. For this particular matches, there is little information of use.
Scholl never played a junior match on clay, suggesting that she does not like the surface, while Porter played a handful with little real success. Our next stop is the American college scene. A large number of the younger American players come through the college system, where we can often find a number of matches that are not detailed on the ITF website.
As it happens, Chiara Scholl is one of the rarer American players that has not been involved in the college system. At years old, Peggy Porter has not started college yet, so does not show up on the system either. However, where we can find information to expand our knowledge of Porter is the American high-school and junior tournaments. The basic information is shown below:. We can see some more information here.
She is from Dallas, but she has committed to go to college in Florida, which we can presume is likely to be one of the reasons for her playing these ITF tournaments in Florida. The University of Florida is located in Gainesville, which is where this tournament is being played. Whether there is any home advantage is unknown, but it could be something to bear in mind.
She is rated as a blue chip recruit, which is the highest rating for high-school players. We can see that she has compiled a record of , giving a winning percentage of While this is below several of the players below her in the rankings, it is balanced out by the fact that she has played the second-toughest schedule of the players in this class.
We can compare her ITF ranking against those players around her to get an idea of how representative it is. As a comparison, Brooke Austin is ranked at and Louisa Chirico is ranked at Possibly we can conclude that her ranking might be slightly below its true position due to having played fewer tournaments. Looking at her activity, there is one tournament that stands out as containing potentially useful information. She reached the semi-final of the tournament, where she lost to Chloe Ouellet-Pizer, who is a decent clay court player that reached the third round of the prestigious Eddie Herr tournament in December.
The final check often will not turn anything up, but is worth doing. By searching for Peggy Porter, we find a press release from the University of Florida with one useful piece of information. It mentions that she won the Collegiate Clay Court Invitational, again suggesting that she may be a decent player on the clay courts. For Chiara Scholl, there is no particularly useful information.
With all this information, we can now return to the prices. We have Chiara Scholl, who enjoyed a few good runs on clay back in when she was playing much better tennis than she is currently playing. She does not play much on clay and has struggled on the surface in recent times, while she is also horribly out of form. Her previous high ranking does suggest that she does have talent, but there is little in the past year to suggest that she is anywhere close to that right now.
On the opposite side, we have Peggy Porter, who is playing in a location that she is set to call home for the next few years. Obviously, we have to weigh up all of these factors to decide whether either of the prices is value. However, this is the decision that is up to you. Some people will put different ratings on the various aspects and may come up with a different conclusion. Maybe some people will think that Scholl is the value.
Others may feel that the prices are right and that there is no bet in this match. That is the joy of betting — no two people will have exactly the same view on a match. Regardless, I hope that this article has given people an idea of some of the resources and statistics out there and how they can be used to weigh up and analyse a tennis matches.
If anyone has any further ideas as to what could be added to this analysis or different ways of approaching it, feel free to mention them in the comments below. Tags : betting tennis. You Might Also Like tennis. Anonymous 26 March at BrendaPalmeri 7 May at